Super Bowl 2024 picks: Experts predict 49ers-Chiefs score, MVP

There is only one game left in the 2023 NFL season. The San Francisco 49ers will face the defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas on Sunday for Super Bowl LVIII. Which team will win the Lombardi Trophy? Which player will win the Super Bowl MVP?

We asked ESPN's NFL analysts, writers, commentators, columnists and pundits to make predictions for the big game. More than 60 experts chose the 49ers-Chiefs winner, the game's final score and who they think will win the Super Bowl MVP award.

Here's a look at how they chose, along with betting odds from ESPN BET. Check out all of our Super Bowl preview content for more news and analysis ahead of the big game.

The Chiefs have the advantage, 49-15

Of the 64 experts who weighed in, the Chiefs were favored by 49 of them (76.6%), while the 49ers received 15 votes (23.4%).

The most common predicted final scores were 27-24 (chosen by eight of our experts) and 27-21 (seven). The lowest combined total was 37 (20-17). The highest was 64 (34-30). The largest expected margin of victory was 20 points (34-14). And 52 experts said this game would be decided by a touchdown or less.

Betting Notes: ESPN BET currently favors San Francisco by 1.5 points. The over/under is 47.5 points on ESPN BET. Of the experts in this pool, 52 have a game above that total, while 12 like it below.

ESPN Football Power Index: The FPI likes the 49ers (59.4%) by 3.1 points on average.

Predicting a Chiefs win (49)

Alaina GetzenbergBills reporter: 27-24
Alden Gonzalezwriter: 31-27
Well babyBengals reporter: 34-14
Brooke Pryor, Steelers Reporter: 27-24
Courtney CroninBears reporter: 31-28
Dan Grazianonational NFL reporter: 20-17
Dan OrlovskyNFL analyst: 24-21
David NewtonPanthers reporter: 32-27
David Purdumsports betting reporter: 31-23
Elizabeth Merrillmain editor: 31-28
Eric KarabellNFL fantasy analyst: 34-17
Eric N. MoodyNFL fantasy analyst: 31-28
Eric WoodyardLions reporter: 23-20
Erin Dolansports betting analyst: 24/7
Yates FieldNFL analyst: 27-24
Jake TrotterBrowns reporter: 28-24
Jason ReidAndscape Senior NFL Editor: 34-17
Jeff LegwoldBroncos reporter: 28-23
Jenna LaineBuccaneers reporter: 28-24
John Buccigrosscommentator: 29-28
Jordan RaananGiants reporter: 23-17
Jordan ReidNFL Draft Analyst: 27-24
Josh WeinfussCardinals reporter: 33-24
Kevin SeifertVikings reporter: 31-26
Kris RhimChargers reporter: 27-23
Lindsey Thirynational NFL reporter: 28-25
Liz LozaNFL fantasy analyst: 24-23
Marcel Louis-JacquesDolphins reporter: 27-21
Marcus SpearsNFL analyst: 28-24
Matt BowenNFL analyst: 27-23
Matt MillerNFL Draft Analyst: 28-24
Michael DiRoccoJaguars reporter: 27-21
Michael RothsteinFalcons journalist: 27-23
Mike ReissPatriots reporter: 31-21
Mike TannenbaumNFL analyst: 31-21
Mina KimesNFL analyst: 27-24
Paul GutierrezRaiders reporter: 27-21
Rex RyanNFL analyst: 31-24
Rich CiminiJets reporter: 31-24
Rob DemovskyPackers reporter: 27-24
Robert GriffinNFL analyst: 31-21
Sal Paolantónionational NFL reporter: 30-20
Sarah BarRams reporter: 31-24
Stephen HolderColts reporter: 24-21
Tedy BruschiNFL analyst: 24-21
Tim HasselbeckNFL analyst: 27-17
Tim McManusEagles reporter: 34-30
Tristan H. CockcroftNFL fantasy analyst: 27-21
Turron DavenportTitans reporter: 27-21

Predicting a 49ers win (15)

Brady HendersonSeahawks reporter: 24-23
Daniel DoppNFL fantasy analyst: 31-20
DJ BelovedTexan reporter: 27-21
Doug Greenbergsports betting reporter: 27-20
Jamie HensleyRavens reporter: 31-17
Jeremiah Fowlernational NFL reporter: 27-24
John KeimCommanders Reporter: 20-17
Katherine TerrellSaints reporter: 28-21
Michelle Beisner BuckNFL reporter: 27-24
Mike ClayNFL fantasy analyst: 25-23
Seth Walderanalytical editor: 26-24
Seth Wickershamsenior writer: 20-19
Stephanie BellNFL fantasy analyst: 27-21
Tim Keownsenior writer: 28-24
Todd ArcherCowboys reporter: 28-26

Super Bowl MVP

Patrick Mahomes was the most common choice to win the Super Bowl MVP, receiving 38 of 64 votes (59.3%). Mahomes is looking to win his third career Super Bowl MVP.

Travis Kelce and Christian McCaffrey were next with nine votes each (14%). Brock Purdy received three votes (4.6%) and Fred Warner received two votes (3.1%). Chris Jones, Deebo Samuel and Isiah Pacheco received one vote each (1.5%).

The odds below are from ESPN BET

Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs (+130): David Newton, Brooke Pryor, Dan Graziano, Turron Davenport, Sarah Barshop, Jordan Reid, Lindsey Thiry, Robert Griffin III, Mike Reiss, Mina Kimes, Field Yates, Tristan H. Cockcroft, John Buccigross, Tedy Bruschi, Kris Rhim, Alaina Getzenberg , Ben Baby, Stephen Holder, Courtney Cronin, Rich Cimini, Liz Loza, Eric N. Moody, Jordan Raanan, Marcel Louis-Jacques, Elizabeth Merrill, Matt Miller, David Purdum, Dan Orlovsky, Rex Ryan, Jason Reid, Eric Woodyard, Marcus Spears, Eric Karabell, Erin Dolan, Jenna Laine, Rob Demovsky, Jeff Legwold

Travis Kelce, TE, Chiefs (+1400): Jake Trotter, Michael Rothstein, Mike Tannenbaum, Sal Paolantonio, Kevin Seifert, Michael DiRocco, Alden Gonzalez, Josh Weinfuss, Paul Gutierrez

Christian McCaffrey, RB, 49ers (+450): Mike Clay, Jamison Hensley, Tim Keown, Brady Henderson, Michelle Beisner-Buck, John Keim, Doug Greenberg, Katherine Terrell, Jeremy Fowler

Brock Purdy, quarterback, 49ers (+225): DJ Bien-Aimé, Seth Walder, Stephania Bell

Fred Warner, LB, 49ers (+15000): Seth Wickersham, Daniel Dopp

Chris Jones, DT, Chiefs (+8000): Matt Bowen

Deebo Samuel, WR, 49ers (+2000): Todd Archer

Isiah Pacheco, RB, leaders (+3000): Tim Hasselbeck